Thursday 25 January 2018

The middle-class wild card in Latin America’s elections

SOMETHING unexpected happened in Chile’s presidential election last month. In the first round in November, Sebastián Piñera, a centre-right former president who was the favourite, stumbled. He won only 37% of the vote, six points less than the combined tally of two left-of-centre candidates. But in the run-off an extra 1.4m voters turned out for Mr Piñera, giving him a comfortable victory. Many of them had stayed away in the first round. Most were new recruits to Chile’s middle class alarmed by the prospect of a swing to the left under Mr Piñera’s opponent, Alejandro Guillier.

As Latin America begins a series of presidential elections this year against a background of sluggish economic growth and anger over crime and corruption, the Chilean result is a reminder that its middle class is bigger and more influential than ever. But its political impact is far from straightforward. And that is because the term itself requires unpacking.

What is clear is that the region’s middle...Continue reading

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