EXIT polling from the Italian general election on March 4th signalled that the anti-establishment Five Star Movement (M5S) had emerged as far and away the largest political force in the country and that mainstream parties of left and right could expect chastening reverses. If the exit polls are borne out in the final results—and they have a disappointing track record in Italy—the M5S and its 31 year-old prime ministerial candidate, Luigi Di Maio, will have won more seats than any other party, and may therefore be given the first chance to attempt to form a government. But with no party, or electoral grouping, looking likely to have won a majority of seats, Italy may have to wait a good few weeks to find out what kind of government it will get next.
The only nationwide true exit poll was conducted for the RAI, Italy’s public broadcaster (other polls included voting intentions). It assigned a range of 29.5-32.5% to the M5S in the vote for the lower house, the Chamber of Deputies; 20-23% to the centre-left Democratic Party (PD), which is the...Continue reading
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