THE “pink tide” of left-wing hegemony in Latin America has ebbed. Yet rather than a period of strong centre-right government, what has followed in many places is political polarisation. Consider the campaigns for the heavy crop of elections in the region over the next year or so.
These begin with Argentina’s legislative contest next month, which features a close battle in Buenos Aires province, the key electoral district, between President Mauricio Macri’s centre-right coalition and Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, his unrepentantly populist predecessor. Presidential elections next year in Colombia and Brazil may turn into a struggle between relatively hard left- and right-wing candidates. Mexico’s race is shaping up to be a referendum on Andrés Manuel López Obrador, the eternal populist candidate of the nationalist left.
If opinion polls are to be believed, most Latin Americans remain broadly in the political centre. They want a market economy, and better state...Continue reading
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