Thursday, 22 September 2016

Money’s the conversation

FISCAL policy has tumbled from the top of the political agenda with remarkable speed. For most of Barack Obama’s presidency, controlling the national debt, which spiked from 35% of GDP to over 70% after the recession, was a priority for Republicans. Democrats were less worried, but still saw the need for America to fix its long-run challenge: soaring spending on Medicare (public health insurance for the over-65s) and Social Security (public pensions). Mr Obama set up a doomed bipartisan commission with the task of doing just that. Yet in this election, the Republicans have abandoned their fiscal hawkishness. And the long-run barely gets a look-in.

That is not all down to Donald Trump. The economic recovery, combined with sharp cuts to spending (triggered by the failure to reach a deficit-reduction deal) have reduced borrowing significantly, from 9.8% of GDP in 2009 to 2.5% in 2015 (in 2016 it will be a little higher). Republicans in Congress—which, unlike the president, actually writes the budget—have also had a change of heart. Their economic priority is now to boost growth by cutting taxes and red-tape, which they blame for the...Continue reading

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