DEMOCRATIC enthusiasm—defined not just by voter turnout but also by the number of candidates—has defined this year’s primary elections, as it did last year’s special elections. That is not unusual; Republican enthusiasm defined the 2010 midterm elections—Republicans then, like Democrats now, hold neither the White House nor either congressional chamber. Mid-term elections usually go badly for the party in power. But enthusiasm has its downsides, as may become evident in California’s primary on June 5th.
All told, Republicans hold 23 congressional seats in districts that Hillary Clinton carried two years ago. Seven of them are in California—more than in any other state. To reclaim the House, Democrats need to pick up 24 states. The road to their majority thus runs straight through California. If the state had ordinary primary elections, there would be no problem: on June 5th Republicans would choose their candidates, Democrats theirs, and the two would face off in the general on November 9th.
California, however,...Continue reading
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